2019-2020 Missouri Girls Basketball Rankings

One reader asked me how I started the ratings model of girl's high school, so I thought I would go through the process.  Along with that explanation, I put ratings to the Girl's Missouri Basketball Coaches Association poll. You have to start somewhere, so I started with Kirkwood girls and gave them a 120 rating.  I rated all of their opponents (up or down depending on the outcome vs Kirkwood).  I focused on class 5, 4 and 3 teams initially and then found a few St. Louis area class one and two. Once I had them rated, I compared their opponents to add additional teams to the model.  That process allowed me to get most of the teams in St. Louis area rated (to varying degrees) and then I had to find teams from other parts of the state that had played St. Louis teams.  Once I had a few teams in Kansas City and Springfield and Bootheel, I could start to rate outstate teams. When you get to the smaller class schools, it is a little like a treasure hunt, finding tea...

On the boys side, I have tried to educate my readers into the mathematics behind the calculation of 550+ teams into one spreadsheet.  The formula is interactive so that if a team you played, and beat, continues to improve, their improvement will reflect on you rating. I made a statement in the first blog posting that I included the games rated because it impacts the soundness or robustness of the rating.  So a team like Incarnate Word, who has a chance to become a state champion again, I rated 18 games and I am fairly confident in their rating.  On the other hand, for a team like the 18-8 Schuyler County Lady Rams in Lancaster, MO, I only picked two games at the beginning of their schedule and their rating was not robust.  I needed more data (game scores) to plug into the model.  I rated them an 81 and, sure enough,  @LadyRamsBallers called me on their rating.  Somehow the disclaimer that teams with fewer score comparisons were questionable ratings d...

Here are the Girls Missouri basketball teams rated by district.  If I may have a couple in the wrong district, I apologize.  I used the boys districts to set this up. REVISED 2/24/2020 2019-2020 MISSOURI GIRLS BASKETBALL RANKINGS                                                                                   - by DISTRICT CLASS FIVE Team Games Class District Rating Poplar Bluff 10 5 1 128.2 Seckman 7 5 1 114.2 Jackson 20 5 1 101.7 Northwest Cedar Hill 10 5 1 95.1 Oakville 23 5 2 121.0 Cor Jesu 3 5 2 116.6 Lindbergh 4 5 2 100.6 Fox 2 5 2 95.3 ...