2019-2020 Missouri Girls Basketball Rankings

One reader asked me how I started the ratings model of girl's high school, so I thought I would go through the process.  Along with that explanation, I put ratings to the Girl's Missouri Basketball Coaches Association poll. You have to start somewhere, so I started with Kirkwood girls and gave them a 120 rating.  I rated all of their opponents (up or down depending on the outcome vs Kirkwood).  I focused on class 5, 4 and 3 teams initially and then found a few St. Louis area class one and two. Once I had them rated, I compared their opponents to add additional teams to the model.  That process allowed me to get most of the teams in St. Louis area rated (to varying degrees) and then I had to find teams from other parts of the state that had played St. Louis teams.  Once I had a few teams in Kansas City and Springfield and Bootheel, I could start to rate outstate teams. When you get to the smaller class schools, it is a little like a treasure hunt, finding teams that you have

On the boys side, I have tried to educate my readers into the mathematics behind the calculation of 550+ teams into one spreadsheet.  The formula is interactive so that if a team you played, and beat, continues to improve, their improvement will reflect on you rating. I made a statement in the first blog posting that I included the games rated because it impacts the soundness or robustness of the rating.  So a team like Incarnate Word, who has a chance to become a state champion again, I rated 18 games and I am fairly confident in their rating.  On the other hand, for a team like the 18-8 Schuyler County Lady Rams in Lancaster, MO, I only picked two games at the beginning of their schedule and their rating was not robust.  I needed more data (game scores) to plug into the model.  I rated them an 81 and, sure enough,  @LadyRamsBallers called me on their rating.  Somehow the disclaimer that teams with fewer score comparisons were questionable ratings did not deter this coach or support

Here are the Girls Missouri basketball teams rated by district.  If I may have a couple in the wrong district, I apologize.  I used the boys districts to set this up. REVISED 2/24/2020 2019-2020 MISSOURI GIRLS BASKETBALL RANKINGS                                                                                   - by DISTRICT CLASS FIVE Team Games Class District Rating Poplar Bluff 10 5 1 128.2 Seckman 7 5 1 114.2 Jackson 20 5 1 101.7 Northwest Cedar Hill 10 5 1 95.1 Oakville 23 5 2 121.0 Cor Jesu 3 5 2 116.6 Lindbergh 4 5 2 100.6 Fox 2 5 2 95.3 Mehlville 11 5 2 90.1 Marquette 23 5 3 122.3 Eureka 32 5 3 119.8 Lafayette 18 5 3 118.7 Parkway South 19 5 3 117.6